A much improved Chelsea performance against Napoli saw the bankroll back to £1321.15 last week. We are entering the last quarter of the season and things are really starting to get interesting domestically and in Europe.
ROI for the blog currently stands at 36.45% and growth of 32.12%. This is slightly above expected, however, we are working with a select and small sample size.
This week we are again looking at Chelsea, as they line up against City at the Eastlands.
Manchester City
The Blues stuttered in their last league game, losing away to Swansea, as the home team managed a rare clean sheet against the title challengers. However, City's home form in the league currently reads P14 W14. They are formidable on their home turf and the expected return of Vincent Kompany to partner Kolo Toure at the back will be a welcome boost.
In the forward line, the movement of Aguero and Silva, complemented by the well timed runs of Yaya Toure has caused even the most stringent of defences problems this season. It is no surprise that they have averaged three goals at game at home in the league.
Chelsea
Although Chelsea have looked a rejuvenated side under the guidance of Di Matteo, I feel the test of an away game against City has come too early for them. The absence of Terry from their central defence is a critical factor. This will shift the burden of keeping out the City front line onto the shoulders of Luiz and Cahill. These are two players of undoubted talent, however, they do not look solid enough as a pairing against intelligent forward lines.
Couple these points with the fact Chelsea have only had two full days to prepare for this game after their FA Cup tie on Sunday and you begin to realise that the price about a City win is definite value.
They were 8/11 at home to Arsenal and won & 8/11 at home to Spurs and won (albeit with a last minute penalty). I do not perceive Chelsea to be stronger than either of those teams in their visit to the Eastlands.
Selection
3 Points on Man City Win @ 19/20 with VC Bet
The key for me in this game will be the announcement of Kompany in the City starting eleven. If he does not start I will reduce the stake by 2/3 to 1 point as Savic does look very indecisive at times.
As always, I welcome any comments, good luck with your value betting!
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