Ajax vs Real Madrid

I was pleased with how the Stoke vs Kiev match played out with respect to our Under 2.5 selection. The 1-1 result was obviously one we were after and takes the blog bankroll to £1141.72. However, it was the manner of the match that was more pleasing.

Opta mentioned that there has only been one Europa league match this season that produced less shots at goal than this one. Proving that the analysis and subsequent selection were very close to the mark.

Ajax vs Real Madrid

My selection for this week's Champions League game is one which I feel has the most transparent dynamics.

Ajax

They sit second in the group three points ahead of third place Lyon. They need to avoid defeat tonight in order to qualify irrespective of Lyon's result. They have a number of defensive injuries but are a well organised unit under the guidance of De Boer and have kept four clean sheets out of their five Champions League matches so far this season.

With just a draw required I see no need for De Boer to change their conservative approach tonight.

Real Madrid

Mourinho's team have already qualified with a flawless five wins from five. Scoring sixteen and conceding just two goals in the process. They face Barcelona in La liga at the weekend and like Barcelona last night, Real Madrid will field a very changed starting eleven. However, unlike Barca, they will struggle to put four past their opponents.

You can currently get 5/4 on Under 2.5 goals with Victor Chandler or 2.28 if you wish to trade the selection on Betfair.

I would have the selection as slight odds on at around 8/11 in my 100% tissue (11/8 being the Over 2.5 obviously).

Selection

Therefore, as always we follow the value, 2 points win @ 5/4 on Under 2.5 goals