Looking at the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market for this match I was surprised to see that 4/5 was readily available for the Unders.
After taking a closer look I think there is definite value in this selection.
Stoke
They have been shipping goals for fun recently in the Premiership and a lot has been made of their poor form with only a recent win against Blckburn providing any points from their last five games. However, they have faired better in Europe. Currently they top Group E with 10 points and a draw will safely see them through to the next stage.
They will field a changed line up tonight and will adopt a steady strategy to the game. Tony Pulis has already stated their aim for this evening is to achieve qualification, thus erradicating the need to play anymore first team players than necessary in their final game away at Besiktas. With these factors in mind I do not see Stoke going out there to rack up the goals.
Dynamo Kiev
Kiev are a competent team as proved in their 1-1 draw when the teams last met. They still harbour hopes of qualification and will need to at least avoid defeat tonight. I think they will approach the game with a cautious set up much like their previous Europa League games. This will make them hard to break down and frustrating for the home team. Kiev are yet to go over 2.5 goals in their group games and have not scored more than one goal in a game. I cannot see this changing tonight.
The smallest price available is 13/20 for the unders and I make that to be the accurate price. Therefore, 4/5 is fantastic value that I am more than happy to take.
Selection
3 Points Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/5
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