Going to focus on Sunday's crucial game in the bottom half of the table. Although we are only ten games into the season this is most definately the proverbial "six pointer" for both teams.
The market we are going to focus on is "Both Teams to Score". We have fantastic value in this market, primarily because of Wigan's poor goal scoring record away from home. However, this does not paint the whole picture.
Wolves
Starting with the home team and match favourites, Wolves. Only one clean sheet this season and they achieved that against Fulham way back in August. Playing at home in the league they have since conceded three against QPR, two against Swansea and two against Newcastle. It was their regular back five that played in two of those three games and the same five will line up again on Sunday.
Furthermore, Stephen Fletcher is likely to return on Sunday and this will mean Mick McCarthy (if choosing to start him) will revert to a more attack minded 4-4-2. Wolves have not struggled for goals without Fletcher in the last few weeks and will not struggle to score against bottom of the table Wigan. Also, the creativity of O'Hara coupled with his accurate set pieces will most definately create chances.
Wigan
Over to their opponents, Wigan. As we alluded to earlier, with only one goal in their away games this season, the price available reflects that statistic. However, their perfomances over the last couple of games have been much improved and against Fulham they were extremely unfortunate to not bag two or three goals.
Starting with their defence - Gary Caldwell, their first choice centre half and captain is suspended for the game. Therefore, Roberto Martinez will know that his team cannot sit back and hope to nick one. He is a football purist and will look to outplay Wolves with possession football.
Additionally, they actually do have some talented footballers going forward. Watson, Moses and Rodallega are likely to cause problems for an immobile Wolves defence.
Both teams will need to be going for the win seeing it as an opportunity to get three points against relegation rivals. After looking at the full picture behind this game I am more than happy to snap up the 10/11 on offer at Hills. I would have this priced 4/6 because there is enough evidence to suggest both teams would score at least 60% of the time, if not more.
Selection
4 points @ 10/11 Both Teams to Score
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